A BIT about Walmart
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With the re-election of Barack Obama, bilateral engagement between India and the US is expected to deepen. The signing of an investment treaty between the two countries would be a critical part of this. Negotiations for an India-US BIT have been ongoing since 2008-2009. Of late, there has been renewed interest in signing the treaty at the earliest. On October 26, the US State Department released a document titled "The United States and India: A Vital Partnership in a Changing World". Referring to the negotiations for a BIT, it says: "We are aiming for a high-quality agreement that expands on recent reforms to provide still greater openness to investment; strong rules to protect investors and guarantee transparency; and effective means for resolving disputes should they arise." But the revived interest in a BIT raises several preliminary questions that must be answered before any fruitful agreement can be arrived at.
It may appear overcautious to suggest that an investment treaty between India and the US needs to be viewed in the context of a single investor. But there are certain factors that seem to favour caution. First, government authorities are reportedly investigating claims that Walmart poured money into the multibrand retail sector, in spite of the ban on FDI in the sector so far. It allegedly invested $100 million in a domestic unit owned by Bharti Enterprises, its wholesale joint-venture partner. According to reports, Walmart is investigating these allegations. It has also been reported that the retail chain faces charges of tax evasion and money laundering in Mexico. Given this background, it is highly unlikely that any Walmart investment in India will be entirely free of regulatory troubles. If and when such regulatory concerns arise, the protection of a BIT could make a huge difference to Walmart.
Second, while the government of India has allowed 51 per cent FDI in multibrand retail, it will let the state governments decide whether they want to implement it, which reflects the political divide on this issue. So far, only nine states have said that they will welcome foreign retailers. But a future state government opposed to FDI in retail could reverse the current government's decision to allow Walmart to set up shop. This could lead to Walmart dragging India into investor-state arbitration under the India-US BIT. Even without one, Walmart can use other BITs through a subsidiary. For instance, India does not have a BIT with Norway, yet Telenor issued an arbitration notice to India under the investment chapter of the India-Singapore free trade agreement, through a subsidiary based in Singapore.
Does this mean India should not enter into a BIT with the US at this stage? That can be answered only if there is clarity on certain counts. To begin with, in 2012, the US adopted a new Model BIT that is much more extensive in its coverage than most Indian BITs. In addition to the typical provisions contained in most BITs, the US model contains provisions on investment and environment, investment and labour etc. This is at variance with India's Model BIT and treaty practice. It remains to be seen which Model BIT forms the base draft for an India-US treaty.
Second, the 2012 Model US BIT contains elaborate provisions for investor-state arbitration. India might not agree to a BIT with such broad dispute settlement provisions. Third, will India seek a restrictive most favoured nation (MFN) clause to ensure that US companies do not circumvent the BIT provisions by treaty shopping? This question is significant as India recently lost a dispute under the India-Australia BIT because of an expansive MFN provision, which allowed the foreign investor to treaty-shop a beneficial provision from another BIT. Finally, the US Model BIT recognises pre-entry national treatment protection. Will India accept this, and if so, how will it safeguard its FDI policy on multibrand retail? It is imperative that India articulates its stand on these substantive aspects of the issue.
This piece was co-authored by Deepak Raju Ranjan is associate professor at National Law University, Jodhpur, Raju is at Cambridge University, firstname.lastname@example.org