Afghan may be focus of future Indo-Pak rivalry: US


"States such as Pakistan and Iran feel threatened by what they perceive as stronger, threatening powers in their regions or globally," said the fifth installment of the 'Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds' of National Intelligence Council.

The report said that such states choose to exploit terrorist movements out of a strong sense of insecurity.

"Therefore, they seek asymmetric options to assert power and deter attack; using terrorist groups as proxies and pursuing nuclear weapons are two such asymmetric tools.

"However, international disapproval of state support for terrorist movements has increased significantly, and the costs to a regime of directly supporting terrorists looks set to become even greater as international cooperation increases," the report said.

It noted that due to several circumstances, the recent religious wave of terrorism is receding and could end by 2030.

"Terrorism is unlikely to die completely, however, because it has no single cause," it said.

According to the report, nuclear powers such as Russia and Pakistan and potential aspirants such as Iran and North Korea see atomic weapons as compensation for other political and security weaknesses, heightening the risk of their use.

"The chance of non-state actors conducting a cyber-attack or using WMD is also increasing," it said.

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