China to gain most from GMR’s Male woes
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China could well turn out to be the biggest beneficiary of GMR Infrastructure's forced exit from the Male airport project following a dispute with the Maldives government and Tuesday's Singapore court ruling upholding the government's right to take over the airport.
External affairs ministry officials told FE on condition of anonymity that China was keen to get a foothold in the Male airport asset as a base in the Maldives would put the dragon state in control of the oil routes in the region and give it greater dominance over sea lanes.
More than 80% of international trade to and from Asia passes through Maldivian territory. And while India and the Maldives have been enjoying strong relations, the nation is of strategic interest to China.
"China's foremost interest in the Maldives is to protect its increasingly important supplies of energy that need to transit the Indian Ocean," said former Major General Dipankar Banerjee, a mentor of the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies.
China is making inroads in the Maldives by building infrastructure projects and supporting the tourism industry. For Maldivian traders too, China is becoming an import business destination. India's increasing involvement and influence among smaller island states mirrors China's expansion in the region. Given the economic links between India and China, however, a direct confrontation is unlikely.
Due to its location in the Indian Ocean alongside major shipping lanes, the Maldives is of strategic interest for both China and India. China has recently opened an embassy in Male, which symbolises its increasing interest in the Maldives.
"The directions are very clear. It seems we don't follow assertive foreign policy. Bit by bit China is entering Maldives and India is being pushed out. In fact, the Chinese embassy is coming up at a location close to where the Indian embassy is located," said Anand Kumar, an associate fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses.