The chill of spring

The post-Spring Arab-world seems to be tottering between anarchy and tyranny with few other stable outcomes on the horizon. It seems unable to emulate the countries of central Europe, where, with the exception of the former Yugoslavia, transition to post-Soviet democracy was far more orderly. Its lack of solid civil society institutions and political traditions seem to favour the more extreme elements.

Israel and India are islands of stable democracy embedded in a vast geographical expanse where turmoil and tyranny are far more the rule than the exception. The two countries may soon find themselves having to face a mega-mélange of failed/ failing states with enfeebled central governments, unable -- perhaps unwilling -- to reign in extremist militant elements, bent on exporting their radical doctrine on a global scale. For them, and the rest of the democratic world, the Arab Spring has brought much cause for concern.

The writer is the founder and executive director of the Israel Institute for Strategic Studies

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