US intel sees India as economic power in 2030
- Espionage racket with ISI links busted in Jammu, Kolkata; BSF jawan among five arrested
- PM Modi leaves for Paris to attend UN climate summit
- Nepal releases 13 SSB personnel after brief detention
- Turkey to hand over body of dead Russian pilot to Moscow: PM
- Bhushan challenges Kejriwal for public debate on Lokpal Bill
US intelligence has predicted that in 2030, India could be the rising economic powerhouse of the world as China is seen today and that it will continue to consolidate its power advantage over Pakistan.
"In 2030 India could be the rising economic powerhouse that China is seen to be today. China's current economic growth rate — 8 to 10 per cent — will probably be a distant memory by 2030," said the fifth installment of the 'Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds', of National Intelligence Council, released today.
As the world's largest economic power, China is expected to remain ahead of India, but the gap could begin to close by 2030.
"India's rate of economic growth is likely to rise while China's slows," said the report which is aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
According to the report, the total size of the Chinese working-age population will peak in 2016 and decline from 994 million to about 961 million in 2030.
"In contrast, India's working-age population is unlikely to peak until about 2050," it said. "Also of significance, India will most likely continue to consolidate its power advantage relative to Pakistan.
"India's economy is already nearly eight times as large as Pakistan's by 2030 that ratio could easily be more than 16-to-1," the US report said.
The NIC report said the diffusion of power among countries and from countries to informal networks will have a dramatic impact by 2030, largely reversing the historic rise of the West since 1750 and restoring Asia's weight in the global economy and politics.
- Ahead of the Paris summit, India has been again targeted as a spoiler
- Shunning coal not viable for India; World needs to come together to make it cleaner
- Detained at IFFI: You can chain our hands, but you can't choke our voices
- How 'secular', 'socialist' came to be part of Constitution, and why they remain
- Next door Nepal: Blaming the neighbour
- True economic reform is one that makes a clean break from the past