US will remain among top players by 2030: intel


"Being a very large economic power is a very important component, but it isn't even if you look historically necessarily the largest economic power that always is the superpower.

"Britain in the 19th century lost its primacy on the economic side well before the First World War and then the Second World War when it dropped, of course, from being that, the big hegemonic power," Burrows said.

Particularly in this world, he said, looking at this growth in global challenges, the US is the only one who can mobilise its forces to deal with it.

He said China itself says that it is not a peer competitor of the US.

China, he said, cannot expect to actually play the role of organising across regions, non-state and state boundaries.

"If you look in the regional section, we do talk about the potential for a lot more US- China competition. Again, you know, China is as we say the wild card.

"Its actions itself can be its worst enemy, particularly if it becomes, as we've seen starting a couple of years back, a lot more aggressive in the neighbourhood, then actually is sowing a lot more support for a continued US role in the region," he said. Kojm said in the world of 2030 most European countries, South Korea and Taiwan and Japan, will have a median age above 45 and ageing countries will face an uphill battle in maintaining their living standards.

So, too, will China, whose median age today is younger than that of the United States, but it will be higher than that of the United States by 2030.

"Surging economic growth, dramatic power shifts, nationalism and aggressive military modernisation across Asia have amplified rather than diminished tensions and competition among the rising powers and with Japan," he said.

... contd.

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